While reading through various blog posts, I came across a couple that made me stop and think.
Nai and I have had discussions before about what will happen to SL once ‘SL2.0’ is released.
You can read his blog post here for his thoughts on the matter.
He and I have also talked about the fact that the number of people using SL seems to be dropping.
Or, to be more exact, the number of ‘concurrent’ users seems to be declining.
I also came across a blog post by Nalates Urriah about that very thing.
Read Nalates blog post here about concurrency.
It seems pretty clear that concurrency is, in fact, in a decline.
Daniel Voyager has a post about the decline in number of regions in SL.
So with the number of concurrent users and the number of regions in decline, is this the end of SL?
And since pretty much everything being said about ‘SL2.0’ is speculation, it’s hard to make any kind of accurate prediction.
I, personally, am not surprised that the number of concurrent users and number of regions has declined.
Rose-colored glasses aside, the economy in the US still has not completely recovered, and non-essential expenses (like paying for land in SL) tend to be the first things to get cut.
Everyone is speculating about what will happen once ‘SL2.0’ is released.
That it will cause a mass exodus of people from SL.
That is the nature of the world.
I have no idea what ‘SL2.0’ will be like.
Will it be better than SL?
I don’t know.
Will I be able to move all my stuff from SL into it?
I doubt it.
Will it cause LL to close/shut down SL?
I don’t know. I don’t think even LL will know the answer to that until ‘SL2.0’ is released.
Will LL keep SL open even after releasing ‘SL2.0’?
I think they will – as long as it’s making money for them. Once it isn’t, SL will disappear.
It’s no different than other games, MMORPG’s, and the like.
LL is running a business. If SL is making money, it will continue. If it isn’t, it will close. That’s just good business sense.
Will people be upset?
Yes, of course. I will be. I have a ton of stuff I’ve spent money on over the years.
But I also realize that if LL decided to close SL tomorrow, there isn’t a blessed thing I could do about it.
And if it did, I would simply move on to another grid, most likely.
Change isn’t the end of the world. 😛